Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Analysis of the Relationship Between Public Health Expenditure and Economic Growth in Benin

Cherif Ayena *

Departement de Statistique, Ecole Nationale de Statistique, de Planification et de Demographie (ENSPD), Universite de Parakou, Benin and Laboratoire de Recherche en Economie et Gestion (LaREG), Universite de Parakou, Benin.

Barthelemy Biaou

Laboratoire de Recherche en Economie et Gestion (LaREG), Universite de Parakou, Benin.

Camille Guidime

Laboratoire de Recherche en Economie et Gestion (LaREG), Universite de Parakou, Benin.

Mouhamadou Djima Baranon

Departement de Statistique, Ecole Nationale de Statistique, de Planification et de Demographie (ENSPD), Universite de Parakou, Benin and Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Pan African University Institute for Basic Science, Technology, and Innovation (PAUSTI), Nairobi, Kenya.

Ambroise Tchando Nahini

Departement de Statistique, Ecole Nationale de Statistique, de Planification et de Demographie (ENSPD), Universite de Parakou, Benin, Departement de Population, Demographie et Environnement Naturel, Ecole Doctorale des Sciences Agronomiques et de l’Eau (EDSAE), Universite de Parakou, Benin and Laboratoire de Recherche en Sciences de la Population et du Developpement (LaReSPD), Universit´e de Parakou, Benin.

Achille Mahuna Soglo

D´epartement de Statistique, Ecole Nationale de Statistique, de Planification et de D´emographie (ENSPD), Universite de Parakou, Benin.

*Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.


Abstract

Aims/ Objectives: To examine the impact of public health expenditure on economic growth in Benin. Study Design: Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model analysis approach.
Place and Duration of Study: E´ cole Nationale de Statistique, de Planification et de De´mographie (ENSPD), Universit ´e de Parakou, Benin, between January and April 2024.
Methodology: This research utilizes data from the World Bank’s World Development Indicators (WDI) database, covering the period from 1977 to 2017. The method used is the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model analysis approach with tree models. The study adopts the human capital production function from Romer (1990) as a base model, which is modified to account for factors influencing the total productivity of the factors, following Romon’s (1998) approach.
Results: The associated balance correction was negative and significant for each model, confirming the existence of long-term relationships. The results of the study also reveal that public health expenditure has a negative long-term and positive short-term impact on economic growth in Benin. Moreover, life expectancy at birth, in turn, has a positive effect on economic growth in the short and long term. Furthermore, Benin’s policy of openness to the outside world and the inflation rate has a negative impact in the short and long term on economic growth.
Conclusion: The results of the selected model indicate that public health spending has a positive impact on economic growth in Benin in the short term, while its effect is negative in the long term.

Keywords: Autoregressive distributed lag, public expenditure, health, economic growth


How to Cite

Ayena, Cherif, Barthelemy Biaou, Camille Guidime, Mouhamadou Djima Baranon, Ambroise Tchando Nahini, and Achille Mahuna Soglo. 2024. “Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Analysis of the Relationship Between Public Health Expenditure and Economic Growth in Benin”. Journal of Economics, Management and Trade 30 (7):96-104. https://doi.org/10.9734/jemt/2024/v30i71228.